Selling Your Business: The True Meaning of the Multiple
Historic multiples equal the value a buyer was willing to pay for the acquisition risk!
Every founder should have a multiple in mind; that is, to most people, the market value of the business when they look to exit. Prospective buyers typically look at two core metrics, along with a lot of other data, when determining a multiple as the basis of their offer: EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization), and revenue. EBITDA is often assumed to be the most important metric for this determination.
But historic multiples have a slightly different meaning than simply a “market value.” It’s actually more reflective of what a specific buyer was willing to pay. Let’s dig in.
Here’s a scenario: a business that sold for 6x EBITDA last year did not achieve that multiple solely because broader market conditions were favorable (a common, yet false assumption). It achieved a 6x multiple because a particular buyer, guided by a specific strategic rationale, concluded that the business warranted that valuation. Another buyer may have offered 5x, while a third may have declined to proceed altogether.
This distinction is frequently overlooked when transaction multiples are interpreted as market prices. A multiple reflects the outcome of a negotiation between one seller and one buyer at a specific point in time, yet it is often presented as though it carries broader, universal significance.
So, what does all of this mean? For a business owner seeking to understand company value, the central question is not what “the market” is paying. Rather, it is what a credible buyer would be prepared to pay for this particular business, considering its financial performance, customer base, management team, and risk profile. That conclusion is typically more precise, and more reliable, than the guidance offered by a midyear M&A report.
If the business aligns with the buyer’s criteria, strategic objectives, and cash-flow requirements, it may support a higher multiple. The buyer must be prepared to pay the amount required to complete the transaction, service the associated debt, preserve the seller’s legacy, and sustain the long-term health and success of the acquisition.
Transaction multiples provide useful market context; however, they do not, by themselves, determine the value of every company. Valuation ultimately depends on the buyer, the strategic fit, the quality of the business, and the risks and opportunities the buyer identifies. Understanding the factors that make a business attractive to the appropriate buyer is often more valuable than relying solely on headline multiples.
With more than 40 years of M&A experience, Sabre Capital provides objective valuation guidance designed to help business owners make informed decisions and maximize transaction value. To discuss your valuation objectives, contact us at 919-523-6790.